Bankers call it the latest example of regulatory overkill. Executives protest that they are wasting countless hours dreaming up outlandish doomsday scenarios. The chief executive of a major U.K. bank said the tests are predicated on "a massive confluence [of] absurd scenarios" in which executives passively watch events unfold rather than trying to stabilize the situation. Bankers are especially worried that the process could result in them being forced to hold more capital. The FSA said in a planning document that the tests "may result indirectly in changes to the levels of capital held by firms" if the exercise "identifies business model vulnerabilities that have not previously been considered."
An FSA spokeswoman defended the exercise. "It might seem outlandish to them, but the point is that it pushes the business model to the point it collapses," the spokeswoman said. She said the banks also should be evaluating relatively mundane situations like what they would do in the event of a major internal fraud.
What is somewhat surprising by this report is the fact that these financial institutions should have already conducted similar scenario planning and testing as part of the Basel II Capital Accord requirements. However, since the Basel II requirements were largely self-regulated, it appears that the banks did not do their homework the first time around. For those bankers in the US who did not do their homework as well, you might want to get started before the teacher asks for it.
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